Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München Prediction

Atletico Madrid host Bayern München on 3 November 2026 at 23:00 in the UEFA Champions League league phase. Atletico have won eight of their last ten home matches across all competitions, conceding just 0.50 goals per game. Bayern arrive unbeaten in their last ten official fixtures and have scored 3.80 goals per game on the road in their last ten outings, though they concede 1.30 per game away from home.

Bayern are without Manuel Neuer, Serge Gnabry, Luis Diaz, Ismaël Saibaari, and Barra Sapoko-Ndiaye. Atletico are missing Johnny Cardoso (muscle injury) and Morten Jülmann (suspension). Atletico beat Levante 2-0 away on 31 October and drew 1-1 at Stuttgart on 20 October. Bayern drew 2-2 at home against Borussia Dortmund on 31 October, thrashed Magdeburg 6-1 on 28 October, and beat Freiburg 3-1 on 25 October.

Form and H2H

Atletico have not lost in nine of their last ten Champions League matches and concede fewer than one goal per game in their last ten official fixtures. Bayern have not lost in their last ten matches across all competitions and scored more than one goal per game in their last ten Champions League outings. In nine of their last ten away Champions League matches, Bayern have scored more than one goal per game.

The teams have met six times since 2016. Bayern won 4-0 in Munich in October 2020 and 2-1 in May 2016. Atletico won 1-0 at home in September 2016 and April 2016. They drew 1-1 in December 2020.

Best bet

Both teams to score. Atletico scored in nine of their last ten Champions League matches and have breached the net in all ten of their last ten official fixtures. Bayern scored in all ten of their last ten Champions League matches and conceded in nine of those ten. Atletico concede fewer than one goal per game at home, but Bayern's attacking depth remains significant despite the absences of Gnabry and Diaz. Both teams have the quality and recent form to find the net.

Odds to watch

1xBet: Home 2.93 / Draw 4.08 / Away 2.33.