FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction

FC St. Pauli hosts 1. FC Nürnberg on 1 November 2026 at 15:30 in the 2. Bundesliga's 10th round. St. Pauli arrive unbeaten across six consecutive matches, though their record reads two wins, six draws, and one loss over nine games. In their last five outings they have won twice and drawn three times, including a 1–0 victory over second-placed Wolfsburg and a 1–1 draw with 17th-place Hannover. Nürnberg have not lost any of their four away matches, recording two wins and two draws, though recent form has stalled: they drew 4–4 with Wolfsburg, drew 1–1 with Energie Cottbus, and lost 0–1 to Kaiserslautern.

St. Pauli's attacking threat centres on Abduli Sisej, who has scored four goals in seven appearances and two goals in the last five matches. Nürnberg's injury situation remains unclear. Mohamed Ali Zoma, who has seven goals and eight starts, is reported unavailable with a shoulder dislocation requiring surgery, but the club's 31 October preview made no mention of absences. Finn Ole Becker is also listed as doubtful with a meniscus operation recovery. Rafael Lubah is expected to deputise in attack if Zoma is absent.

Form and H2H

St. Pauli's last 10 home matches show two wins, six draws, and two losses, averaging 1.10 goals for and 1.09 goals against per game. Nürnberg's last 10 away matches show four wins, four draws, and two losses, averaging 2.00 goals for and 1.71 goals against per game. The defensive records favour a low-scoring contest: St. Pauli have conceded only three goals in four home matches, while Nürnberg have conceded 12 goals across nine matches overall but have kept two clean sheets.

St. Pauli's matches have produced Under 2.5 in six of nine games. Both teams have scored in six of St. Pauli's nine matches, and St. Pauli have kept three clean sheets while failing to score once. Nürnberg have seen six of nine matches produce at least three goals, with 21 goals scored and 12 conceded across that span. Both teams have scored in six of Nürnberg's nine matches, they have kept two clean sheets, and they have failed to score once.

Best bet

Under 2.5 goals is the pick. St. Pauli's home form and recent defensive solidity—conceding only three goals in four home matches—aligns with their pattern of low-scoring contests. Nürnberg's injury uncertainty around Zoma, their primary attacking threat, adds downside risk to their goal output. While Nürnberg have participated in high-scoring matches, their recent form has been inconsistent, and the absence or reduced availability of their leading scorer tilts the balance toward a tighter match. St. Pauli's unbeaten run has been built on defensive discipline rather than prolific scoring, making a low-goal outcome the most likely scenario.

Odds to watch

1Win: Home 2.15 / Draw 3.6 / Away 3.09.

1xBet: Home 2.16 / Draw 3.54 / Away 3.08.

22Bet: Home 2.16 / Draw 3.54 / Away 3.08.