Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

- : -1 November 2026 at 19:45France
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 30 Oct 2026Updated: 30 Oct 2026, 21:27

Match preview

Marseille host Toulouse on 1 November 2026 at 22:45, looking to stretch their winning run to four consecutive Ligue 1 victories. Les Olympiens beat Le Havre 4-3 in their last outing and will attack again, though their defence remains vulnerable. Derek Cornelius is sidelined with injury and will miss the match. Toulouse arrive unbeaten in five league games after a goalless draw with Troyes. Rafik Messali picked up an injury in that fixture, clearing the way for Alexis Vossah to return to the starting XI. The visitors have been dangerous away from home and both teams scored in 75% of Toulouse's recent road matches.

Form and H2H

Marseille have won only once in their last 32 head-to-head meetings with Toulouse, a record that underscores the hosts' dominance in this fixture. Marseille's home record shows they concede regularly, a weakness Toulouse will target with their productive away form. Toulouse's five-game unbeaten run gives them genuine confidence, though they have not won on the road often enough to be considered serious threats at the Stade Vélodrome.

Best bet

Marseille 2-1 Toulouse. The hosts' attacking intent and Toulouse's defensive vulnerabilities on the road point to a Marseille win with goals at both ends. Marseille's recent form and home advantage make them clear favourites, while Toulouse's ability to score away suggests they will find the net despite the likely defeat.

Odds to watch

1xBet: Home 1.95 / Draw 4.16 / Away 3.82.

Marseille vs Toulouse Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Marseille vs Toulouse

Date and time 1 November 2026 at 19:45

1X22
BTTSYes50%

Competitive fixture

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Marseille vs Toulouse Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

MarseilleMarseilleLast matchesToulouseToulouse
100%Over 0.5 goals80%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Over 3.5 goals60%
40%BTTS60%
40%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Marseille — Toulouse

In the last 8 meetings, Marseille hold the edge — 4 wins for Marseille, 0 for Toulouse, 4 draws.

50% W — 450% D — 40% W — 0
  • ToulouseToulouse0:1MarseilleMarseille
    Ligue 1 · 07 Mar 2026
  • MarseilleMarseille2:2ToulouseToulouse
    Coupe de France · 04 Mar 2026
  • MarseilleMarseille2:2ToulouseToulouse
    Ligue 1 · 29 Nov 2025
  • MarseilleMarseille3:2ToulouseToulouse
    Ligue 1 · 06 Apr 2025
  • ToulouseToulouse1:3MarseilleMarseille
    Ligue 1 · 31 Aug 2024
  • ToulouseToulouse2:2MarseilleMarseille
    Ligue 1 · 21 Apr 2024
  • MarseilleMarseille0:0ToulouseToulouse
    Ligue 1 · 17 Sept 2023
  • ToulouseToulouse2:3MarseilleMarseille
    Ligue 1 · 19 Feb 2023
88%Over 0.588%
75%Over 1.575%
75%Over 2.575%
75%BTTS75%
88%Marseille over 0.575%

Betting profits Marseille vs Toulouse

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Marseille

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.92614
Match WinnerDraw-14.00014
Match WinnerLose+5.67814
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.30914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-2.11514
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+0.60914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.53814
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.65614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.87814
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+0.1138
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.0368
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.40810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.34410
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.8513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+6.2623
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-0.2214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.1934

Toulouse

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.50513
Match WinnerDraw+6.31513
Match WinnerLose-5.33313
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.6357
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+1.0327
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.101013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.34413
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.85913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-4.38413
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.20913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.21913
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-1.41413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.08913
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.5833

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

MarseilleLast matches Marseille

Marseille are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.2 goals per game.

60% W — 30% D — 040% L — 2
  • MarseilleMarseille4:3Le HavreLe Havre
    WLigue 1 · 25 Oct 2026
  • Sturm GrazSturm Graz1:0MarseilleMarseille
    LUEFA Europa League · 22 Oct 2026
  • AngersAngers2:5MarseilleMarseille
    WLigue 1 · 18 Oct 2026
  • MarseilleMarseille0:1Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
    LUEFA Europa League · 15 Oct 2026
  • Estac TroyesEstac Troyes0:2MarseilleMarseille
    WLigue 1 · 11 Oct 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals / game
2.2
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

ToulouseLast matches Toulouse

In the last 5 matches Toulouse have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1
  • ToulouseToulouse0:0Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
    DLigue 1 · 25 Oct 2026
  • Le MansLe Mans0:3ToulouseToulouse
    WLigue 1 · 16 Oct 2026
  • MonacoMonaco2:2ToulouseToulouse
    DLigue 1 · 10 Oct 2026
  • ToulouseToulouse2:3PAUPAU
    LFriendlies Clubs · 03 Oct 2026
  • ToulouseToulouse3:2Le HavreLe Havre
    WLigue 1 · 19 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
60%

Marseille vs Toulouse Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121-101120
2RennesRennes951320-19116
3LilleLille843111-6515
4MonacoMonaco843111-7415
5LyonLyon842213-7614
6Paris FCParis FC842213-9414
7NiceNice942313-12114
8LensLens841316-12413
9MarseilleMarseille840418-13512
10LorientLorient83327-6112
11ToulouseToulouse824212-11110
12AuxerreAuxerre831412-18-610
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314-1229
14AngersAngers82249-15-68
15Le MansLe Mans814311-16-57
16StrasbourgStrasbourg821512-18-67
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes81255-16-115
18Le HavreLe Havre90279-20-112
League position 9 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 11 / 18
450%Wins25%2
00%Draws50%4
450%Losses25%2
18100%Goals scored67%12
13100%Goals conceded85%11
12100%Points83%10

Season statistic Marseille vs Toulouse

MarseilleMarseille

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 2
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 11 (2.2)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

ToulouseToulouse

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 0
  • Goals scored 10 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
  • Referee Hakim Ben el Hadj

Lineups

MarseilleMarseille

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

ToulouseToulouse

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Marseille

  • D. Cornelius — Unavailable. Hip Injury

Toulouse

  • R. Messali — Unavailable. Thigh Injury
  • S. Oppong — Unavailable. Calf Injury
  • M. Niflore — Unavailable. Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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