Paok vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction

PAOK hosts Asteras Tripolis on 1 November 2026 at 20:00 in Super League 1. The home side sits fifth in the table while Asteras occupies 11th place with just one win in eight rounds. PAOK plays at the Toumba stadium in Thessaloniki, where they have won six of their last ten matches. Asteras arrives after a managerial change, with Yannis Kontoes temporarily in charge following Georgios Antonopoulos's departure. The visitors are missing Julian Bartolo and Adrian Riera through injury, though Bruno Perez has recovered and returned to the squad.

PAOK faces a congested schedule, having beaten AEK 3-1 in the Greek Cup four days before this fixture. The club will be without Pelkas, Mihailidis, and Luse. Despite the fixture congestion and absences, PAOK remains the clear favourite. The home side scored 16 goals in eight league rounds while Asteras conceded 14 in the same span. Asteras managed only six goals across their eight matches and will likely adopt a defensive approach against PAOK's aggressive pressing and flank attacks. The visitors' counter-attacking threat is minimal given the defensive setup required.

Form and H2H

PAOK's last-ten form at home shows six wins, one draw, and three losses, averaging 1.60 goals for and 1.20 goals against per game. Asteras away record over the same period is two wins, four draws, and four losses, averaging 1.00 goals for and 1.50 goals against per game. The head-to-head record between these sides dates to 2012-13, with PAOK winning four of six meetings. PAOK won 2-1 at home in September 2012 and April 2013, then 1-0 in April 2013. Asteras took victories 1-0 in January 2013 and 2-0 in April 2013, but PAOK won the final fixture 2-1 in May 2013.

Best bet

PAOK with handicap -1.5 is the primary selection. The class gap between these teams is substantial, and the Toumba stadium functions as a fortress for the home side. Asteras's defensive block will hold only until the first serious positional error, after which the match will open up. PAOK's attacking dominance and Asteras's defensive vulnerabilities point to a comfortable home victory by at least two goals. The profit trend data supports backing PAOK's team total over 1.5 goals, reflecting their consistent attacking output at home and Asteras's weak away defence.

Odds to watch

1Win: Home 1.31 / Draw 5.1 / Away 9.4.

1xBet: Home 1.28 / Draw 5.3 / Away 10.1.