Gremio hosts Atletico-MG in the Copa do Brasil semi-final first leg on 2 November 2026 at 00:30. Gremio chases a sixth cup title, Atletico-MG a third. The clubs met in the 2016 final, which Gremio won. The return fixture takes place 7 November in Belo Horizonte.
Gremio advanced past Internacionale with a 0-0 draw away and 3-1 home win. Both goals in their last league match against Atletico Paranaense came from set pieces—a free kick and corner. Gremio can exploit set plays to breach Atletico-MG's defence without overcommitting in open play. Atletico-MG beat Cruzeiro 1-1 away then 2-1 at home, showing resilience after falling behind. Vitao has recovered from a neck injury and trained with the squad, so Atletico-MG's central defence remains intact despite Tressaldi's absence. Gremio must stay sharp in possession; they lost 1-2 and 0-3 to Atletico-MG in the league this season.
Form and H2H
Gremio's last 10 matches show 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses at home, averaging 1.30 goals for and 1.30 against. Atletico-MG's away record over the same span reads 5 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game.
The clubs have not met since 2013. Atletico-MG won three of their last four encounters: 2-0 in November 2011, 1-0 in July 2012, and 1-0 in September 2013. Gremio drew 2-2 in August 2011 and 0-0 in September 2012. Gremio's recent form in the league shows two consecutive wins, while Atletico-MG has lost three straight.
Best bet
Gremio to win with handicap 0. Gremio enters as favourites on home soil after progressing through the quarter-final with conviction. Atletico-MG's injury list—Fred, Reiniery, Cassierro, and Borba all out—weakens their attacking depth. Carlos Vinicius remains their primary target man, with Enamorado and Amuzu supporting from the flanks for Gremio. Marlon scored from a set piece last time out and can repeat the pattern. Gremio's need to build an advantage before the return leg in Belo Horizonte adds urgency to their approach.
Odds to watch
1xBet: Home 2.63 / Draw 3.04 / Away 2.91.

