Championship · Regular Season - 13

Millwall vs Derby Prediction

- : -31 October 2026 at 15:00England
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AuthorDaniel Christian

Daniel has more than two years of experience writing and editing betting-related content for English-speaking audiences. He has worked with several digital publications and specialises in turning complex information into accessible articles. When reviewing bookmakers, his priority is to help readers compare operators objectively and make informed decisions.

Published: 30 Oct 2026Updated: 30 Oct 2026, 11:54

Match preview

Millwall host Derby County on 31 October 2026 at 18:00 at the Den in a Championship fixture between two sides starved of wins. Millwall have gone three games without victory after a 2-1 defeat to Portsmouth and have failed to convert home advantage into results. The Lions are without De Norre, Luongo, Coburn and Arconte through injury, which has blunted their attacking threat. Derby are in worse shape, winless in their last eight matches. They drew 0-0 with Sheffield United most recently and have averaged just one goal per away game. Defender Dion Sanderson is suspended for the Rams, though Henrik Meister has recovered from a minor injury and could feature in attack. Both teams lack the cutting edge to break through, making a low-scoring stalemate the most probable outcome.

Form and H2H

Millwall's three-game winless run has eroded confidence at home. Derby's eight-match drought without a win is the deeper concern, with their away form particularly blunt. Neither side has the personnel or momentum to impose itself decisively, which points to a cagey encounter where neither goalkeeper will be overworked.

Best bet

Back Millwall 1-1 Derby. Both teams are struggling for goals and confidence. Millwall will press for a win at home but lack the attacking depth through injury. Derby will sit deep and look to steal a point, which they have managed recently. A draw with each side scoring once reflects the balance of a match between two sides equally desperate but equally limited in execution.

Odds to watch

1Win: Home 1.67 / Draw 3.86 / Away 4.91.

1xBet: Home 1.68 / Draw 3.85 / Away 4.66.

Millwall vs Derby Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Millwall vs Derby

Date and time 31 October 2026 at 15:00

1X22
BTTSYes70%

Competitive fixture

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Millwall vs Derby Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

MillwallMillwallLast matchesDerbyDerby
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
60%Over 2.5 goals20%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS80%
60%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head Millwall — Derby

In the last 8 meetings, Millwall hold the edge — 4 wins for Millwall, 1 for Derby, 3 draws.

50% W — 438% D — 313% W — 1
  • MillwallMillwall1:0DerbyDerby
    Championship · 10 Mar 2026
  • DerbyDerby1:1MillwallMillwall
    Championship · 10 Dec 2025
  • DerbyDerby0:1MillwallMillwall
    Championship · 22 Feb 2025
  • MillwallMillwall1:1DerbyDerby
    Championship · 19 Oct 2024
  • DerbyDerby1:2MillwallMillwall
    Championship · 23 Feb 2022
  • MillwallMillwall1:1DerbyDerby
    Championship · 06 Nov 2021
  • DerbyDerby0:1MillwallMillwall
    Championship · 13 Mar 2021
  • MillwallMillwall0:1DerbyDerby
    Championship · 05 Dec 2020
100%Over 0.5100%
50%Over 1.550%
13%Over 2.513%
50%BTTS50%
88%Millwall over 0.563%

Betting profits Millwall vs Derby

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Millwall

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.87515
Match WinnerDraw+1.26415
Match WinnerLose+0.01615
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.941115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+1.00415
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.33912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.70512
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.06915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.02615
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+2.48915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.59915
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+3.22615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.77915
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-9.75115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.981415

Derby

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-11.05115
Match WinnerDraw+2.99515
Match WinnerLose+7.68915
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.331013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.12813
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.28715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.51815
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-4.69513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.151113
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-7.31214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+2.251214
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.211113
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.87213
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-4.17111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.361011

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

MillwallLast matches Millwall

In the last 5 matches Millwall have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • PortsmouthPortsmouth2:1MillwallMillwall
    LChampionship · 24 Oct 2026
  • MillwallMillwall2:2LincolnLincoln
    DChampionship · 17 Oct 2026
  • MillwallMillwall0:1SwanseaSwansea
    LChampionship · 13 Oct 2026
  • PrestonPreston0:1MillwallMillwall
    WChampionship · 10 Oct 2026
  • MillwallMillwall2:2West HamWest Ham
    DChampionship · 19 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

DerbyLast matches Derby

Derby have not won in the last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 losses).

0% W — 060% D — 340% L — 2
  • Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1:1DerbyDerby
    DChampionship · 24 Oct 2026
  • DerbyDerby0:1Stoke CityStoke City
    LChampionship · 17 Oct 2026
  • QPRQPR4:1DerbyDerby
    LChampionship · 14 Oct 2026
  • DerbyDerby1:1WrexhamWrexham
    DChampionship · 10 Oct 2026
  • BurnleyBurnley1:1DerbyDerby
    DChampionship · 19 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
2
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
80%

Millwall vs Derby Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127-171025
2SwanseaSwansea1272316-13323
3West HamWest Ham1264232-151722
4WolvesWolves1263320-16421
5West BromWest Brom1263316-13321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224-121220
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220-12820
8QPRQPR1255220-12820
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418-16220
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419-16318
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416-15118
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416-15116
13MillwallMillwall1243519-20-115
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512-15-315
15LincolnLincoln1243513-20-715
16CardiffCardiff1235419-17214
17WrexhamWrexham1235415-18-314
18BoltonBolton1242616-23-714
19CharltonCharlton1235411-18-714
20NorwichNorwich1240820-22-212
21WatfordWatford1232710-20-1011
22BurnleyBurnley1215617-25-88
23DerbyDerby1214710-21-117
24PrestonPreston1212910-25-155
League position 13 / 24Comparative team statisticsLeague position 23 / 24
433%Wins8%1
325%Draws33%4
542%Losses58%7
19100%Goals scored53%10
2095%Goals conceded100%21
15100%Points47%7

Season statistic Millwall vs Derby

MillwallMillwall

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

DerbyDerby

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 8 (1.6)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue The Den, London
  • Referee Anthony Backhouse

Lineups

MillwallMillwall

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

DerbyDerby

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Millwall

  • C. De Norre — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • M. Luongo — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • F. Marschall — Unavailable. Injury
  • L. Jensen — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • J. Coburn — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • M. Servais — Unavailable. Inactive
  • T. Arconte — Unavailable. Ankle Injury

Derby

  • C. Taylor — Unavailable. Injury
  • C. Forsyth — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • L. Travis — Unavailable. Ankle Injury
  • M. Clarke — Unavailable. Calf Injury
  • D. Murkin — Unavailable. Hamstring Injury
  • D. Sanderson — Unavailable. Red Card
  • E. Cashin — Unavailable. Inactive
  • S. Langås — Unavailable. Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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