Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 10

Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction

- : -31 October 2026 at 15:30Portugal
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AuthorDavid Foster

David produces predictions for tennis, basketball and football. He specialises in identifying less obvious outcomes and potential weaknesses in bookmaker pricing. His coverage includes major European football leagues, international competitions and selected lower-profile events where detailed research may reveal useful betting insights.

Published: 30 Oct 2026

Match preview

Moreirense host Estrela on 31 October 2026 at 18:30 in the Primeira Liga. Moreirense beat Estoril 3-1 last time out and sit mid-table, chasing a push into the top half. Estrela arrive in poor form, losing three consecutive league matches including a 2-0 defeat to Casa Pia, and have not kept a clean sheet in recent outings.

Moreirense will be without Tiago Andrade after picking up a knock at the weekend, with Alvaro Martinez stepping in. Estrela have no fresh injury concerns, though Souza and Mincarelli are pushing for starts as the visitors attempt to arrest their slide.

Form and H2H

Moreirense's home record over their last ten matches reads three wins, two draws, and five losses, averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.69 goals conceded per game. Their inconsistency at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas has been a recurring problem this season.

Estrela's away form shows three wins, four draws, and three losses across ten matches, with an average of 1.59 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per game. The visitors have produced goals on their travels despite their league struggles, but defensive frailty remains a concern.

Best bet

Moreirense 2-2 Estrela. Moreirense carry momentum from their Estoril win and have the platform at home to trouble Estrela's leaky defence. Estrela's away record shows they score regularly but cannot defend reliably, setting up a match where both sides find the net. A draw with goals from both teams fits the underlying patterns of both teams' recent play.

Odds to watch

1xBet: Home 2.93 / Draw 3.36 / Away 2.55.

Moreirense vs Estrela Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet2.933.362.55Place a bet
Best odds2.933.362.55
Average2.933.362.55
Lowest odds2.933.362.55
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela

Date and time 31 October 2026 at 15:30

1X222.5538%
DCX/267%
BTTSYes50%
1 33%X 29%2 38%

Estrela win

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Moreirense vs Estrela Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

MoreirenseMoreirenseLast matchesEstrelaEstrela
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS40%
60%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Moreirense — Estrela

In the last 8 meetings, Moreirense hold the edge — 3 wins for Moreirense, 1 for Estrela, 4 draws.

38% W — 350% D — 413% W — 1
  • MoreirenseMoreirense3:2EstrelaEstrela
    Primeira Liga · 02 May 2026
  • EstrelaEstrela0:0MoreirenseMoreirense
    Primeira Liga · 20 Dec 2025
  • MoreirenseMoreirense1:1EstrelaEstrela
    Primeira Liga · 02 Mar 2025
  • EstrelaEstrela2:1MoreirenseMoreirense
    Primeira Liga · 28 Sept 2024
  • MoreirenseMoreirense2:2EstrelaEstrela
    Primeira Liga · 07 Apr 2024
  • EstrelaEstrela0:1MoreirenseMoreirense
    Primeira Liga · 11 Nov 2023
  • EstrelaEstrela2:4MoreirenseMoreirense
    Segunda Liga · 06 May 2023
  • MoreirenseMoreirense0:0EstrelaEstrela
    Segunda Liga · 31 Dec 2022
75%Over 0.575%
63%Over 1.563%
50%Over 2.550%
63%BTTS63%
75%Moreirense over 0.563%

Betting profits Moreirense vs Estrela

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Moreirense

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.27412
Match WinnerDraw-3.59212
Match WinnerLose+0.19612
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.21912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.37312
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.12710
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.57510
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.89712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.52512
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.1758
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.8458
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+8.4859
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-3.7049
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-5.0005
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.8655
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.3033
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-3.0003

Estrela

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.41411
Match WinnerDraw+4.92411
Match WinnerLose-0.37311
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+2.3289
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.0239
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+4.19710
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-4.16310
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+3.0969
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.4359
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.6089
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.1319
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+8.16510
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.85510
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+8.2227
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.3157
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.4311

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

MoreirenseLast matches Moreirense

In the last 5 matches Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • EstorilEstoril1:3MoreirenseMoreirense
    WPrimeira Liga · 25 Oct 2026
  • AVSAVS1:0MoreirenseMoreirense
    LTaça de Portugal · 17 Oct 2026
  • MoreirenseMoreirense0:1GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
    LPrimeira Liga · 09 Oct 2026
  • Vitória SCVitória SC1:1MoreirenseMoreirense
    DPrimeira Liga · 20 Sept 2026
  • MoreirenseMoreirense3:1MaritimoMaritimo
    WPrimeira Liga · 14 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

EstrelaLast matches Estrela

In the last 5 matches Estrela have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

20% W — 120% D — 160% L — 3
  • EstrelaEstrela0:2Casa PiaCasa Pia
    LPrimeira Liga · 24 Oct 2026
  • FazendenseFazendense1:2EstrelaEstrela
    WTaça de Portugal · 17 Oct 2026
  • AroucaArouca1:0EstrelaEstrela
    LPrimeira Liga · 11 Oct 2026
  • EstrelaEstrela0:2Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu
    LPrimeira Liga · 20 Sept 2026
  • Rio AveRio Ave3:3EstrelaEstrela
    DPrimeira Liga · 14 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Moreirense vs Estrela Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FC PortoFC Porto990021-41727
2BenficaBenfica971126-81822
3Sporting CPSporting CP953121-111018
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara953113-6718
5AroucaArouca952212-7517
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu952213-11217
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238-7114
8AlvercaAlverca932413-13011
9SC BragaSC Braga93249-11-211
10MoreirenseMoreirense932411-16-511
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314-11310
12EstrelaEstrela924314-17-310
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510-1008
14MaritimoMaritimo92259-19-108
15NacionalNacional921610-18-87
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165-17-127
17Rio AveRio Ave92168-21-137
18EstorilEstoril90275-15-102
League position 10 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 12 / 18
333%Wins22%2
222%Draws44%4
444%Losses33%3
1179%Goals scored100%14
1694%Goals conceded100%17
11100%Points91%10

Season statistic Moreirense vs Estrela

MoreirenseMoreirense

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 2

EstrelaEstrela

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 2 / 1
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 9 (1.8)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 3

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos
  • Referee Joao Pinheiro

Lineups

MoreirenseMoreirense

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

EstrelaEstrela

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Moreirense

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Estrela

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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